                           ˿µϣ20091031գ

09.10.30ûи
09.10.31, ˿xysforum.orgΡ
09.10.31, ѽβɲ
09.10.31, 㾿ôˡƭ
09.10.31, ໡Ҳ˵Ϳʿ֮
09.10.31, 衶һ࣬ԺѧҸ桷
09.10.31, աٱ㽭ѧȾ޸̬صʵҡ١
09.10.31, ĪˡѧߡСƽ
09.10.31, סĳ˸ҵĹš
09.10.31, ·͡ƵھС
09.10.31, ¥ϺƾѧѧԺʿи߼ͲʿĳϮ
09.10.31, gamebugϴѧľѧԺԺФҽڵְ⡷
09.10.31, û㲻⣬־ڡ
09.10.31, Kolmogorov־¼ʾһ֪ܵˡʾ⡷
09.10.31, ĦС˱
09.10.31, Ϳ¡һѧƸƶȡ
09.10.31, ֮Ϳ²ʿ
09.10.31, ⲩʿٺڡ
09.10.31, ԱɽӰʵ㷨
09.10.31, kaixinעһϽѫѡ
09.10.31, oztigerѧѧ¼û˸˵ǲȥ
09.10.31, ܼñȥְ Ԭʽ

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

˿xysforum.orgΡ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ѽβɲ

ߣ

1029»һʲôġ١
ĺ󣩡˵ʵҶ߲ѽҵɲ̬ȷǳλ߿
Բѽʦ£ôܲѽε¡Ҫ֪ξ
ѧУڲ͵Ĺ٣Ҳǹ٣ѧУƳȻ͵Ĺ٣
ҲǿƼڸУһûˣΪϵˣξϵ
ΣѧԺԺһǴϵҲԭĽξǿƼ
ôܲǡ١أЩʦĽԼҲǰԼٵģ
ʱְһдϵģýô֪ǽΣ
ȴΪǲǹ٣֡֯쵼ڹٱλʢеĸУ
ˡǿ벻̡ Щǲ޳㣬ѧĲ½
ʦҲΪġƽ塱˼޳㡣

ߵĹ۵㣬йУѧʦ90%ǹٲֵôС
֡ΪڸУĿǰǡѧˡ̶ˡΪ̵úã
ųΪ٣ҽ֮౾Ͳǹ٣90%ǹٵĽѧʦ
λߵĹ۵㣬ʵڲҹͬڸУ쵼Ҫʲôط
˶֪ʵ˵ҪȫͶѧҲʵʹǽ̵
ãȫְȥ̣Ҳ㲻һõĽʦκһγ̶һϵ
޷ϵѧڿγ֪ʶôҲ㲻һϸĽʦ

⣬ڸУǡѧˡ̶ˡǣ
ȫ޳90%Ľѧʦǹ١йѧν̾ȫǣٴ
90%

ڸУձǣϹٵĽʦȽ׵ص,øֽ,
׼(ѧУԼı׼)Ǹ,ʹһЩȥһЩɼ(ȴ
ֳɼǷ),˹,ƴѹƱԼǿˡУ
Ǳ,ҪĽٵ,ٵĽʦѧУԺϵһͱˢ,
Ϊɶ֪֪ͨͨίҪôǹ,Ҫôɹָ,̸ί
ѧˮ׼ǷʤΡ˹٣Ȩ򣬻ȡѧԴݽ
ѧȡ£ٵĽʦ뵱ٽʦͲһˮƽϾ
,߾ûʸо״£ѧˡ ̶ˡ
ʵֵĳ̶ȴﲻ90%ܴﵽ50%Ͳˡԣֻ£
뵱٣СĹ١ΣǸΡ

ڽνϵˣˣֱƷ֥ٻС
Ҳջ͸ˡֹûȨأУԵС˭ᵱ
ٿԲμӽڲܲμӵĸ飬޷ѧ
ѧͨʦȣͬǸ߼ĽʦҪߡ
ЩǣӦϵǣѧɣҲӦõġǣ
Щʵȷ˲òȡϾһλһͬʱ
һ¡ϾĳУһλκѧɹûеϵΣڹ
ѧϲ鲻˵κѧƷԱרҵһλͬжɹ
ϿɵĽڽҴǽڡԭ˫Աרҵо
ĲοĿ˷磬βλרҵΨһĽڲ룬λ
ʮĽҪ󡰽ѧҲ˵Ͼѧƣѧ
йܴҲ֪йѧǲٿ˵й
õĴѧܷ£Ĵѧ͸˵ˡˣйĴѧ
ǡѧˡ̶ˡҲǹ١λţ
ϵΣҲǽҸΣ»ϵλѽ
εɲ֪λ߽ġ׳

»ʲôġ١

http://news.xinhuanet.com/comments/2009-10/29/content_12353365.htm

Ĺ㣺ͳƣʦ100λߵѧУ
ѧʦУоųɵΡְ񡱡ϢһۻȻ
пǸУ֮ңɵǹԱǲֶΪԼ

    пɡ

    Դµı˵100λУείǡУԺ
ϵΡΡʵΡоְģռųɣ
漸ְ񡣡
    ˵ίǡУԺְ˭ܽһ£Ρ
ʲôԱԴ˶ԡѧʦųɹԱ̫ƫģ
    йĹѧӵ걸ϵУǿǸּ
ԺǴһλУѧ˵Ҳ޳ɸѧ
ڣûѧУڵطϰ£ĺѡ
    ɴ˿ɼУѾѷ
    ôѧУɴñζŽݺͽɫĵҷԡ
ڸУǡѧˡ̶͡ˡ仰˵ЩԺ
ϵλõģѧгɡΡʵΡо
ѧлĸˣɽĽʦΣΪ档
    һ㣬б𡪡һЩһѧϵǽģ
ѧ߷ԸΪ˷ķ
    ȻǵԺϵУ֪ڣôѧʦѡ
ΪʲôһҪܿǣȷйԱݣҪǣҲǽʦҪ
ӵģǵ˫ݣǷﵽѡ׼ȻҺܲ޳
˫ֻҪҲʦкβɣ
    ѡҼѧʦҪĿģǽڱƽѧһ߽ˣ
ڽѧĸʦʶ齨ͻ׵ĽʦʹϽ̨
ѧʦ緢һȷźšڡؿѧӵĽ
죬ҹľʶѧߺϵĽѧҲ
    2003ѡѾԳϵӵһԹ̶ı׼
ġߵѧУѧʦѡָϵƲ֣Ϊ
100̷10֣ѧ45֣ѧˮƽ30֣ˮƽ5֡
    ڸָķֵȨأ߼ʣۡƩҾΪˮ
ƽһλϵѧʦ˵̫Ҫ
    ʵǣѧУЧһϵѧʦ
ƼȫΧ顣̣Ҳһʦල֮µ
̡
    ȻҲǹӰڽѧϸõķӣҲ
ǡʦͷεĺ
    ʶļλҼѧʦڽѧˮƽԼд̲ġƶ
ѧĸȷĳɼ൱ܷڵģѧƳ͹ϵġ
ǿѡ޿ΣڱѳȻ֮еǸУ
Ժ
    һλʵУ˼Աݣѧʦ
ĸ߷ڡⲻӦΪһӲԵҪ󡣽ѧʦּѡõĽʦ
ĿǰĸУҪ޳еУԺϵΡΡʵ
ζȥţʵΪһõĽʦˡѧͷˡ
ѧͷˡ˸ְְ
    ҪָǣߵѧУѧʦһҼڡؿ
ѧĽ죬һЩġоʹѧôҪ
дѧұʾֻòҿƼԺԺʿѧ
ˣŻῼǡѧʦأ
    ʵһѧʦ棬Ƽ󽱺Ժʿͷ
ȣ̫ԶˡϿѧڹ2003굱ѡһҼѧ
ʦֻԪ
    ꣬滹ѧѧԺԺԴҲԱĽɫ
ĵýû飬ΪͬºѧϽѧʦı׼
    ҪһĹԣֻ迴ýڽ̶ȼɣû
ҪǣǵУԺǹԱҲǽʦ
ѧɾȥְҲûȨΪԼʦͲؿ
    ȻκһѡʹȨŵҲ⡣
ѧʦѡѾγһӰ죬ġ롰
ջԽԽ󡣲ųһЩʦѧУΪľӪ
ѧҵ
    ǰĸУӮͨԵ󣬻һ֮󣬾Ϳɽд
Ӷ׻һͬѩһԽԽеĽʦĿγΪ
Ʒγ̡ѡѧŶӡĳ룬ΪѧŶӵ
ͷˣ׵ѡѧʦ֮Ȼ
    ˣһЩڷӳװĳȥѧʦʼ
֡ԴˣͬԴЩװƭѧ󽱺Ժʿƺһ
עԡΪǹĵġŹ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ƭ

ߣ㾿ô

׻˵¹ѻУκ󣬸Ҳȷѻ
仰ɲǡȻѻ󴵵ͷת򣬰
ְУѴ絶ʡ

һѻ2008֤й˾ɱУҽȵ
Ϳ⡣ϸ鱨棺

׷ͿɵĻ
http://finance.baidu.com/zt/zdhn/index.html

ʱԹ ϵϷҪݶ
http://finance.baidu.com/stock/gsyj/2008-07-25/081916161241.html

ҽı пǵڶӣ
http://stock.jrj.com.cn/2008/07/2301521079693.shtml

ǣУӹȦ㹻Ǯְ
ʱ3Ҫʲ2001ͨӵʱŲŲҽ
Ⱥ׼2С֮ɵĿտ2004Ҿͱ
ˡϵұΪ֪ظµľ--
Уҽвʿµظ
http://www.xys.org/dajia/chujian.html)֪ͬһηûһ
־--ȥ׼ӵ2֤ɹ
飬2ڽ걻ֹҲΪйһͨ IPO
ʽеǰһ챻ͣĹ˾

Ը͹ɵķ ұȻ
ǸΪǸʲôʱⶼװ˭ұ
ڼءڡ

ڶѻҩѧԺԺԺʿ¼һѻֻȫ
ķŭڶѻڴȫȫķŭ
һ³ΪѧܵĽܳ

ѻǵµĺͿʿ¥¼ֳΪѧ
Ȧпᡢš顱ܳǧָǵúѧӸߡ

ǰѻľһ֣ƭǸ߲ƭ
ںµĸУѧƭСԺʿǧԪľѲоһҲ
ȥ󱨵Σһ£ԼĲʿڸʲô֪ѧ
⣬˵ûѧû⣬ƪνSCI
ľͿЦǧԪĿգǡȡĴ³ɹˡ

вҲƭ㿴ƸġĶ˵һƬãѧԺչͷѸ
ͣĿǺĿúܣŪϵͿʿΪĿ
ΪĿдչ֣ײŻĴҲغã
60ķǿԸڻ򸱽ڣ˼һֻܽʦ
ʦķҲֻ1500Ԫÿ¡ķӻõ500Ԫۺ¥
2000Ԫÿ£µֵĹҲ2000ԪˡⷿҲֻ4Ԫں
طǮҲͿ1-2ƽ׵ķӶѡҲ
˲š⣬Ͻ̹ڳķӰνġ߶ȫջ⣬
ҪѸĹҲԵ20%˭кݵķôء

ᣬ²ΪְУȻҲƭҲѹ֣ϲв㶼ƭ
ģĶʲôѧ²£Ȼֻᶨø߸
ģҲʵʲʵʣȥ²㡣غʿΪ㹻SCIְ
УҲֻԱƭˡ

ν¶ƭֵֺùͷˡ⼸ѻȷ
յùͷĺУŻԼҲֻôڰ
ҿ𲻸ҳԹڣְУҲյ絶ʣ˵


ǵУ֮ǰУ԰˵˸涼û
˵ձúܵĳϮٵѿ£ԺʿҲǰУһ
Уȥ֬ƴԺʿһ㣺ֲ̫ã㿴·顱
༪飬֣ƺף׳־ƣһ"WEI"֣
ɲ̫á֪ǲ£ѻյҲǡ
УѧУʧУ絶ʣ쵼ǸƲøɸɾ
ûŸƨ

ҿϲ㿪ʼ𻹵һһգյ
ͷѼƤ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

Ҳ˵Ϳʿ֮

ߣ

ǸոջͿʿ֮Ȼִ˺ϴѧһຣ
ϢҲ֪ôˣȻ鶼飿

ͿʿΪʲôҪصҾһԭ㽭ϼңϰ߱
Ͻӽ㽭Ϊȵأ㽭ҲбѧУ㽭ҵ
ʦѧٲҲиݴѧɡͷҪڹһ
У죬ѹȷȽϴǰһʱ䱱ѧҪʦ
Ϣһ֤һУ죬ʦûȹϵ߱
ġӲϵȷʵѡʵʵ˵

Ŀǰ׳־֪(science, nature, cell)
־ˣӵߵĽǶ˵ʧܡΪڸУѾ߶
Ż컯ǣֻǰҲУ
ΰɳһŵй˵ĵطء

ѧʱѧӢһĻݿˡ˵һͻȻһ
طĻԭرӦ⡣ҾĿǰĺع
⡣еʱ䳤ˣйޱ䣬ĻѾ
ͬˣӦûɶ⡣һԼд
Ŵͷֱ(ͿʿԼԿһ)Ϳʿй
˹׵ĵطŻݿˣŻ벻ͨ

һ´ΪͿʿƭڵ´˵
ţ´ˣһ˲ŵ벻ʲôϵ
ԼĹѡҵʱҹʱҲдԼѧУ´˵
ҵľ˵ĸУ´˵ġ
ǣ´û˵̫ࡣȲ˵룬ΪйһУʦ
̫࣬´ܳŵʲôٴβ˵ǰ´˵
У5ﵽʲô̶ȣ10ʲô̶ȡΪЩ̫࣬
ˡ´һܾУ֮ס57ƽס(У
ʿ϶ûл߹ڲʿûУһ˵´ѾͿʿ
)

Ϳʿй̫ˡͿʿΪڹ⣬ʦһرְ
ҵҲôܲ2000ԪأűҵڹһȦҸô
ôأͿôҲ벻ڵĸУһݵĵ繤Ҳ3000һ
ƼְԱҲ4000˰(ЩҵĹƣʵ)پǺã
ִһ¡Щһ°֮ϸڵҥԴ
ˡ

(Ϊӱʵ)ɱˡǰˣΰȫ
ۺ⣬أ㺢أŴźӸļޣ
Ŀ㺢ӵļ̸ĺӲãЩµ⣬ĳ̶ֳ˵
ϸڸѽ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

һ࣬ԺѧҸ

ߣ
http://blog.sina.com.cn/lingyumama

¥Ϳ²ʿ˵һ仰ܶôй
ҪôҪô뿪Σ벻ҪԼֻţй
иƵϣ

УЩ·йϵַչ൱ĺ飬Լþ
ˣ벻Ҫ󵼺ˡ

ûҴйУְĺѧԵԼľ
ҲһЩҪ˵

˵ʵΪĸĹϵǴӳʼǴƸһҪعģ
08عǰѾĴ㣬žۺҷչֻѡһͷ
ĸʱûǶˣżʹտʼ͵㣬ΪֻҪס
ƾԼгͷһ죬й飬ֻиûع
鷢չʼϲģĴ㡣

һ飬ӵеֻĻع˼һѧ
ΪĳǸţϰ򣩽Ҳͬʱ
һǱǿ10ĺ飬ǲҪˣˡһѧʦ
ӦƸƴѧʿ10һƴѧĲʿ
һͨѧ˶ʿйֲ֡

һعõ˺õĴǿܶΪԼҲ
õٲ͹ʱйز
Ҫǡڶһ˵ʵǵʱҲû
ôڴôûôʿһ⣿
𣿲ǣǻûǡвҲϡ
йġţйĳЩ쵼Ͳŵġţ족Щϡĺ֮
ϡΪкݻΪǹϵͺ
Ľ塣йٷһƯƯ˵ʲô˲šǺ
֪˵ġû˲ŷǾͺñ죬ʩһС
ͷϻ̰֪Դ˲ˣ
Լšйλɱˡ

ҸҺϹܽļʶ

1ڸУĹ붼ߣҪ룬ֻҪͿ
Ŀ뼴ʹʲҲܲ 

Ǻܶ࣬ɶ㡣ҪЩԺԺм׷ӱ
۱ԼǿΪԼҲܺһ벻
㣬ҲͨʦһĽڲʿ»ĺ飬붼롣

鲩ʿعѧвÿµõֵֻǧ飬
ֻ࣡ԺʹҲָ̫࣬óֻѧоĻ
ΨһҲɥʧ˵һϺ飬
ǻȳعԺ˵ҪרоֻҪڡû
þѱʵұϷ֣޷£궼һ޳ɵšȨ
ûȨáûȨû
ȻǿٿԸԼķסбϡ

2òĿòǮĿô

Ŀô򵥵ġһڲʿڼ͵ʦһ˲
£ǱȽвŵˣ걨ʡĿһĿһ򣩣Ժ
ݿɿ;ȷΪдúãרǾһĿ
ĿѾֻˣԺ͸߸
ǰԺʽˡԺһ֪֪õʲô;Ͻȥ
һ뱨棨˽ֹˣҶ֪û㵽
صĿʿʲôĿûõڶ격ʿٰͬ
Ŀ뽻ȥѧУһضûˣ֪ǸõֱӾĿ
ʲôԭ򣩡ÿοǸڻñϹϾҵĺ˵
ģ֪ƷԲѡģ
ҪΪĿôãܶĿƵģĺ
黹ûͱ봳ѧУذĿȥ

ûõʡĿ򷢱ܶӰ£Ŀ͸
붼롣ҽʦ2ϽƼʸ걨Ŀ
ĺ黹ɶлĿȥʹ֪ĳЩ
ڵѧˮƽ㣬Ҳõȥǩ֣
顣ӹڽʦĶλͿû취оں鲩ʿ
ܵĽѧˮƽڽʦֳ衣û취о
û취ѧɵġ

ڵĲʿ֮±Ⱥõ㣬ϾеʦһЩµȸ
滹еô

ϣƾԼĿĺ飬϶

3ҿǿºְܶƿ϶ȥ

ǸʿְƵʱΪɹ࣬˼˵ĳɹ
ڶˡûϡڶָϽǮŹ

Ϊйˮƽ߹ʸˣЩ㲻
˵ġʿڣ֮⣬Ŀù2꣬ڱؽ
һʱ籣һЩ߰Ĺ涨Ͳһһ׸ˣ
ٿʱĿΣϵʱĻΪûб͹ϵĺͿ
ܵΣҵģУժҪķ룬ܶ඼
ʱģܻʮҲҪĿʱº鲩ʿרҵӢΣ
ͬʱ¹˶ʿҪרҵйѧǺģҲ˵
Զ㲻ڵҪ󡣶ңΪڸƣ
ʹǿԲûϵľֻÿվˡ
ǰ˵ǸʿĿûû˸κ˵ġ

Ȼ㰲İʮٴչֽţǾͻ
ɣңʮҪϵģΪûа취оģ
ͻԡ۳߰£ⱨһʵھͿ
һڣʹõĲԼĿѡĳЩѧܺõ㣩
ԲҹԱ޾İۺͼ

ϣƾԼѧְƵĺ飬϶

УְƵ¡㷢ʲô־ֻҪǡscience
nature㵱һƪͨcsciеĿװɵеĿ
֪йϵģڹ־ƪǮ˸ڣ֪
һǰûһƪһ귢 8ƪ齫㱻ˢΪ㷢
sciûࡣҲ뷢»߰Լĺ־Ҳ˵
Ը裬û·淢ˡ־мѡ
ĺ10-15%ľ˲ˣ·ģһ
ڵԼ壬û취й˲ŵıֿռֻôһ㡣
Һܶ־һְǽʦֱӽͰˡΪְΪʦߣ
ѧУΪǡѧ߻ֱӰ첢־ĵκ

4ֻҪдóºûط

òĿûǮûûû⽻Ҳûʹ
ôܳ£й²һܳ²һҪ¡
Ҫʲô벻˵ˡ

ЩƬ棬ɾԼʶĿϲȨķ
УѾһɥʧ͵µߵĹҡѾõˣѧ
ѾõˡҰΪҵҺΪҵΨ
һҾðοֵõҵ˺ѧǣЩͶͨ
ˡΨһϣЩѧǣҵѧżᶨһ
ֱڷܵȷģõģǵֱڷܽȻҲӰ쵽
ˣйϣҲԸⲻƵʧΪʲô
ͻɡڵйȱĲʲôƼչҲǮǼֵۣһ
ûȷļֵۺ׷ĿͱȻܺõĳɹ

ڵ̬ȷʺвȴûбǿ򱳾
˷չһֻܳһݣȻһҲǹס
б֮־ҽûڹѳɹپ
λһ¥̫ϧˡ

ǵ㵽ˡ׮ڵУԺ˵
㲻ģǸӦˬľ͸ƨģofferΪû
оͲ֪ˣðԭ£кⲩʿ
ʲô˺ʽǩԼûѧУʽ֮ǰʽ
ǩԼġǩԼʱͻٵһδۿۣʱõ
Ժᷢõĺ͵ʱ̸ʱΪܻ
õԶҲ뵽ǿеʵֻм
飬˵úĸֶȥܹǧ飬Լһ˶
ΪԼõˡŴȴִʵڲʿһ

йʦһ

ߣ°

ΪҵĲʿ̫࣬һԣϽʦѣ
˵ˡһЩУҵĲʿ2격ʿ֮ſ
ǷܱƸΪ߼ְơ

ȥйѧ½ӿҲԽԽáϣԶ
Լ

ʵǾãĹؼйĽʦ̫ǡˡȻ
ȥһģǰսڡڡһ
ģǣǵǵĽʦ˼ҵûȣǵĸ
Ҳû˼ҵڱȡ

ʲôǱȴǱµƽ̨ǽʦȻؾû
κµƽ̨һðл£ϰڵǹƥ

йлʹѧ㲻ǽڣҪȱܴһ鶫
ңձֻнˮϵĲˡ

˵νġָʿʸܸйĶɣйľ
лѧǽھ͸ûʸ񣬼ǽҲ
ʸ񣬸Ҫ˵Ľʦˡ

ʵϣԸ˷޶ȵãǾҪһ
СȴŶӣǻҪ󡣿ϧǣеƶȸ
Ŀܡǣְƣ¹ʽڣ

1ʦ=Nothing+Լ2000ԪĿ֧乤

2=SomethingŶӣǶҪδܹѵ˶ʿʼ+
Լ3000Ԫ֧乤

3=Something*2ŶӣһΣ+Լ5000Ԫ

4+=AnythingŶӣˣǮеλгƺţ+ܶ
֧루ֲȣ

ϵĹʽҲܶˣôΪʲô
ʽأ

ʦ=1/2*AnythingŶ+Լ2000Ԫ֧乤룩

µĻͿȥŬĺͽһǮλ
ƺžͶͨŬԻá

Ҳ˵й벻Ҫýʦȱĳݣÿ
Ǵǵһ֣ǣǶĳЩݸ޿󼰡

˭Ǵʱ߹ģ˭֪ڹڿл˵ʹ࣬
ǣǲЩʹࡣZJѧTuʿɣʲôһ
õԴûУǿ֧2000Ԫ룬ֻһµ
ˡ

йĸоѾൽѴ״̬Ӧÿ
˲һӣҪӶõˣȾָ
ƾһ50ʿ֡

ǰѽʦڶԴڿн˾ͻ
ϣȻҲͻ١

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ٱ㽭ѧȾ޸̬صʵҡ

ߣ

𾴵ķ

ЩϤɣ㽭ѧһԡǡѧƵĸߵѧ
ǣ١ƭӶҴ˷ҡԺʿ
ڡУǡԺʿȵȣȵȶվм¼ڰġ
ѧصʵ١ƭΪֶΣӮá
νصʵ㽭ѧ١ƭѧ
ѧࡣٴνվٱ㽭ѧȾ޸̬
صʵҡе

1.      Ա   ФɷѾȫְ10꣬
Ѳ㽭ѧԱˡڽʮ꣬Ҳûһ㽭ѧġȾ
޸̬صʵҡйκʵҴά
2005͵㽭ҵѧ㽭ҵѧҫ۵ġ
ΪȾ޸̬صʵҡѧͷ˺ҪԱ
Ȼ١Ϊ飬ָѧ㽭ҵѧٷ
վйغά²ϡ

2.      ;  㽭ѧԴѧԺֱСũҵ
ԴȾصʵҡ㽭ʡȴֲӪصʵҡ
㽭ʡũҵңصʵҡ͡Ⱦ޸̬صʵ
ҡǽĸʡصʵҷֱȡĿĿ;ѶŲһ
صʵҡ

3.      ɹ  ͬһ㣬ǽ㽭ѧԴѧԺ
ʡصʵҵĳɹһصʵҡ

ǲ٣п϶١صʵ
ΡڡФѧ粻20022ƪķֱ𷢱Journal of 
Environmental Sciences-China Journal of Plant Nutritionֻǵڶ
ĿһȫһȻһ
ĵժҪϣοҲ졣еΪȥ
ƼڵġȾΪ޸̬Ĺס

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ĪˡѧߡСƽ

ߣ

˿϶ͿдġСƽеżȻĸ
ڿ춫ĸĳΪ˸׽ڳѼǮͱһأ
춫ͷ̱༭ 룬2009-08-07 ʱ
ؼٱڶСƽվ˲Σû֣Լ
󣻱Ѻ˲˵ýıȻԡҵԱ֮Ų̯ˣ
߱̾У2009/09/28 16:51 _YNET.com

֪˼Ҷűڵͷʵһرÿë
֮ʣߵѧУڵһЩȥë˼Ľݡ
2006 1230գһһϯ̸˺һڽĿʼʱСƽ
Ϊڽܸȫˡɺ󣬺˵ǡ
ҥݾѾ˺ʵ֤Ҳ͡
һһϯ̸ƬڶСƽ󵼹Դ  
2007-01-02 12:11:31

ȻٵľǼٵģڷһһϯ̸ֳĿⳡٱ
ڵ־磬20071¾ԱУѵݴ绰򱱾ѧ²
ѯõĴǣûжСƽڣȥҲûжСƽΪ
ڵļ¼˺󸴾෽ڱʵĳ˲Աҡˣ
ڲйרҽУԳơ20071´ȥѧᾭĻ
оƸڣΪйֵׯͶʼCEO1982ۼƿ
ѧγһʮšѧ۰࣬ڶʮѧָ˶ʿ
ʿо

Ϳµ֪ϾȻСѧͷѧ
СƽϢͿֶͨδţԭǾ⡰йѶ
£˵硣Ϳ˵ŹѶץϵ
ϳе̳תСƽеϢʱҲʹˡٽ
ڣСƽŹ˷̾-CNN̳֮ı⣬ԽΪ
ӡֱᣬ֪˼ҶСƽתΪάë
䴴ƣѹҪֻܾй [2006516]
֮磩бʾһڻҾȻáлˡ
ЦԷǡ

ѧͷѧ߶СƽòᷢΪ˼
ëϯ111֮꣬ɺͱ붡Сƽʿ 
20041225230Ϊë󶫾˼͹衷Ľ
ë󶫵۲ŴԼë󶫾˼ҹָ
塣200853磬֮绹ڱѧԴ롰ѧߡ
йֵׯͶʼϯִйٶСƽΪйİ
ͳDD˶89ꡱĽΪʷϵĵһ󾭼
漣ǣëʱľóɾ͡ëʱйΡá¡
ĻҽƵȸ涼ϵһǰΰĻ
֮вӵߣĳҲķ˿

ˣܽĳ˵ΪһЦΪʧ֮ʲ
ıת棬һЩйصԱο

[]
Ų̯ ˣ߱̾
YNET.com  >>  >>2009/09/28 16:51  ߣƽ

Ѷ ΪһºͲ˷ڽǣҵԱСƽͲͬȰ裬
ԲҲ˷ͷʹͷˡ13롣գ߶Сƽ
˺ﱻ־¾

磬һªƽڼ߲˷ź㡣ͷϵ߻δ
˿ɴţҪȥҩ

ź·Σ¡9175࣬ɽ
Ӫڼ˰̯˵̷źҲƽһڵߺˡ
·ȽխСС

ʱһлγӱϾźһ
ŲˡǳûͣźЩˣ˳ʰһЩźƬ
򳵴ӹȥһԲ𶼲˵

ʱͣ˾Ӽʻ߳ź˵ֵܣǶԲ𡣡
źһֶ˾˵û¶ˣ߰ɡ

ʱڸʻλϵһ³ź˵Ҵ
㣬𣿡ź˾䡰ƾʲôѽ˾һȰӣˣˡ

ӷ˾һ䡰Ȼֱźҳ·ߴ
ŵһԲͷ

ź㵱ͷڵϣͷѪֱżǰξ
ˣһѱסɷͷ󺰣ƾʲôˣ

̷ܱѸΧסӣóֻ˾

ɽɳ񾯴ɳ󣬶Сƽ˴˵ʵӹ
Сƽ־¾

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ĳ˸ҵĹ

ߣ

νۡڽ7 µڡţ͡
ѵոҵĹšԭΪ֮ĸָܺ⣬֮
вͬ˽ۡȡšֶΣɼѾ
ûĵزοŷڡţ֮͡СţǺˣ
ǡ̫ҽάҲҽ¶ ̫ҽ³
ʱǡ޳֮ͽҲţС̫ҽ
ͥΪ̫ҽ֤绤

ӹŵݡʵôʿгĻԡࡢ߼
Ҽҿñӣ˵˹žǳ֣֮ϵ׽ʡ
˭ɷյĸס̫ҽ˳ߡţġ
ǡҲ2007 Ѿ̫ҽƭӡʱ
׹壬мһˡʺҷ̫ҽֹ¡
̫ҽҰáݵĲϻṩġȥ12ȥϺ
ʱڿưϵѪĽѵ24£
Һʼгá֮⣬ȻԣٴθлȥĹգ
Ԥܼ¶֧ͬ֡Լ껼Ĳ
ʹ˲ڣĪйܿҵ£
಻סˣĿ־壬ǱѶƵǰ̨򡣵ѯ
Ϊʲô˹ʱѴ֧᲻һʱδԹ壬
ɾ⣬ɢҵġʫȻ鷢չȵز
Ϊ˳ֻ࣬öԹһЩʽĻش𡣻شÿ֣дڡ
СȷʵһЩĶ       2009.10.28.

֮շ׻ԵĹ(2009-07-27 16:57:12)

׵ġ̫ҽҰá
http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_53ef7c0f0100dgr2.html

һĳŻԺȺĳЩýתأɶӰ
죬2009027ڡйܿ϶ѩС̫ҽ
http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_53ef7c0f0100ecjd.htmlһΪ̫
ҽΨһܺߡ

ǳװ֮ʵ޿дĹšίУת
ģ

˳׵Ĺ



ˣã

󣬰ְҼҰѣȵѲҪ̫
أһҪչ˵ϵˡĹּǳ֮
СԵԡСǺ֮УҪɡºͿ
ˡǣڽ12ոҷʼڵңҹ
¶ˣֱšʲôºͿˡְΪ踺
شͷҲġ˻ͨ˵ɡ踺ء
̡ʲô衱˭ģԼΪԼĨڣڿ˵
ĪѪĽѵ˵ʲôأ

ǣ񣬻벻ʵ֮࣬ΪĶӣ
ԭңҲٲڽȰĻˡó֤ô
񡱣ΡȰġ

֪ǰְֹϵǳغãΧ˶Ľǣ
ǳ¼ĶԷ޲Ľǣݺڣ財ʱʮ๫
ְҲ˽ʮ˭ʹࣿӦңҹ۲ְ
ҡˣҲҪѸвʿĴϺͣ
£ҹźͼŰְ֣ӣմСͱ丸ΩǴӣ
ָܼˣһǣҲʿĴȻ
ͨˣȴƳ˺ܳʱ䣬ҽĻȴһʱҲʧȥˡ

ǣû뵽ʬδ㾹Ȼ֮飬
ʵغָΪʲôҪԺʵǵڶҽƴѧڽ
ϺͨѧҽѧԺطҲûѵ⣩ʬ챨档ʵϣ
ʬصĹ涨ָġһ˵ȥ˭Ը
Ҫ˵ȥʬ죬򲻵ѡǻ˼ǧȥʬ죬Ŀ
Ϊܶƹ̵ķʡͼ֣˽¶˰ɡ
ʲôѡģΪɼš̫ҽԣ̴ͬ
Ѫţԡסʬʾûб
ס￴ǵġѡ ʬΪ̫ҽѡδ
ԸΪʲôٳٲǿʬ챨棿ڽǵʬ챨棬
ʬСģˡ

ͼǿȰְ˽ͨšֻҪ
̫ͬҽϵϣ֤ʵ̫ҽ˵֤ݣ
ܽ˵ġѪĽѵкβɣǡǿȡǣ
ûл񹲺͹ķɸȨְִӦʵ
ʱȫȴӦͨ籨ֽȡְ֡˵
ͻẦΪá𹫷ߣֻܴ
ԣβٸˡȥ̫ˣѰѺܶ
͸ˡ˵ϣͶȡ壬ơ
ʵΪԼӵпɿĲϣĻˣΪ
ʹþΪ޳֮ͽҪ¶̫ҽ֤Ƿɲ
𣿸Ҳϻᡰ˭˿óＸ֣һָң
һָ̫ҽַ׾ӡ˻¶ĵĿ־塣һ
̫ҽͽǡ޳֮ͽˣ˹
ڹ⼸ʮվϣ޷Ҹҵ˰ɡ

ˣְǳǳʹ࣬˿һ
ΣĺڣҲٱҰְ֣ƵͶ·̫ˣ
ҪΪָܽ˵ġѪĽѵ˵û
ΪάƭϧԼӵʲôġһ
ʹʹĲ֮¡һλϸɲ߷ߵؽ֮
ʱûʵ£ƴԼˣǹ˵
ձ߼ߵλϸɲ潻̸

ˣαأ

ְְֲĻҽĲ¡
лְͷдĲϣеʱº
еĲϣж˷Сð̷򸾵ţиҽҽı̬
¼ռǼʬ챨棬ҽĶθʵͳϢ
ϸϡְֲԭգ˼ܺõġ
ڿ粻±ץԼĸţһֱҪйء̫ҽ
ϣδԸô˭β˾ץǸ
˭ҽŶܳɡš˵̨
ϻ᳡бʾڡʱûмʱô
أҲͲôˡۣһش½Ժ
Ժúõʵǵ֯רһۡΪʲôɴطţ
Ȼµ⡣ʲô⣿թƭǷӪǷҽʲô
ʵ⣿ְ˵Ҫ»ɺۣ
򡣡ƣ״£ǧϵ
ȥ棬ذܣǿ϶Ҳ֧˭ңó֤״桰
̫ҽǵΣΪʲô棬ǧټƵ̻أ
ֻۼල֮·Ҳ϶֧񾭲
壡Ȫ֮飬ô˵ϧòʿ
Щңˮƽ̫˰ɡɹõʡ

ܶ£Ϊģѧʷо׶о
йʷġ֪ȥдɵйִʷж滰ʲô
񵳴ա·ߡԾą́
ˮ֮СȵȲǻԣ˵ڻݴġ
˵Щ𣿰ͬ޹ص³ʲô˼Ŀĺڣ
Ȼе·ʡıҪϴ̸ѧ롰α
ѧȺһ¾ͱˡѧ롰αѧĴй١ⶥĪ
еñ30ǰ칦ܡʱ˸ҴˣɡԺʿ
Ҵҡʵʲôпѧѧıʲôѧʲô
ѧǲ˵

ѷӲʿȵпƺľú
Զأ õﻯѧʿҽƷ治̣ѵ
ҪֻñôʼժʱΪʲôҪ
ݴ󡱡޳֮ͽأ

ѧıѵʵǣ˵öԣʵǾҪгֵ֤
ݡҪ̫ҽ֤ʲôҽҪ궯
ʲôܲܿҽҽЩʵ
һζĽƾ뵱Ȼۡѵ˵ġĿѧ
ʲôСƾǽƾ̫Цˡ

ҷϷ⽨ŵӡرwikiٿȫĶ壺ţ
superstitiousĳһЩ㯶֪便äĿ˵
رӹƾ֯ͷΣäĿΪͳ
Ψһ߼ȶǴܲõȵȶ
˽˵ģֵᣬѧ˶ѧȵȶǹӦԳ
ϡЩͬñʲôϵڹж֣滹
࣬ԿɵࡣȤĵضһ

ôйУҵĲʿ˶ʿأΪй涨
ֻнϵѧǹϿɵѧУѧʼն
ûгϡôȵ߼ѵҪȫ쵼һЩ
쵼гǼѧٰȵ߼ۣȻԼļ
٣˭ִܱ֤ʱ˵Ϲأתƻˡ˵Щ
֤Ϊʲôտڲ̸̫ҽġ˫ʿѧλǼٵأ
ɵ˼ά۵ҵͷϣʵ̫ˡ

ϧȲҶԴٴƣʱӲʿ¸ҵ㡣Ϊ
ѧǺⲩʿ㡣ȫֻС
£ҹҷһЩٵġ

ٷӲʿѽҳ˵½гɭĶƪ
ȡ˶ʿѧλשĶǳƴģȷʵĿǰ½ţĹٰ廪
ѧ˶ʿѧλңӲʿԤ廪ѧҲûɭ˶ʿѧ
λǣǻʵ˶ʿӲʿҲһز޵
ģܱ֤ܺܺõִ𣿡

ףҲҰ㵱о
˿һжٿѧԣĽ죬Ϳƶ죬
첻ɣƵĻ˭˵ģͬĲʳ
ĸڵġһУһС˼άˡѹ
ͷϣʹַʹδ̫׾˰ɡ

ȿڿǿĹƾ˵ְһƪȫʡҲ
һ䡰Թ״Ԫ޴ţܵӲʿ˿У¾Ȼ
аְõ仰ݰְֽΪˣʷ
ϧʷֻ֤仰ļһﲻѧʮֿ
ܣ˵ɵϲ顰Ĵ״Ԫ֤֮ɻ֪ࣺ
ԼʵǿڹˣձҴˣ״Ԫ
˵ʵëָʵӲʿֵ˿Ϊʲô
ë󶫵أЩʲôֶдˣ
ܺԺʿ

ʵҷҲëġ˽ְ־ˣԴ
˵һٵ빥Ұְ֣ƺʹ֮Ҳӵġ
ˣҲòΪ˵䣺֪ŷ޿ѧоԺڶԱ
ְΪԺʿʱҰְֲԸ⣬ֻϺͨѧѧУѧԺ쵼
Ա˵ǹҵѧУ(Ͻܣʱŷ޿ѧ
оԺ漰50ңȫ繲Ժʿ600ˣа70λŵ
뵱ʱķͳϣ)Ҫһ(Ժʿŵ
һǺƼѡģǲҪģ)Žܵġң
ƸΪŷԺʿ󣬴ƸѧԺԺԶԱ½Ժ
ʿܾˡȻ˵걨Ժʿǵ£ʲôأ
̧Լش

ʱй½ֻгá⽨ҰְƸΪԺʿԺʿж
֣һ䱾ҲԺʿһڱԺʿҹӦķַǣ
չǰһΪԺʿTitularõʱй
ѧԺԺ(ֹ)ӦԺʿйԺʿ
⣬ԣڼҲԳΪŷ޿ѧԺԺʿ
Ժʿפʹ⽻ѧԺԺ⽨Ұְһ
йԺʿ涨ɳͨѶԺʿCORRESPONDINGйѧԺԺ
ʿйԺԺʿһΪԺʿһΪŷ޿ѧоԺԺ
ʿhttp://www.cnindex.fudan.edu.cn/documents/news_0505.htmû
ܲϣҲûְֵԺʿ֤飬ǼȲΪǣְֲ
ԺʿǲǷִЩߵ֪ȴ˵ͨ
ΪǣáȻѧмǵȻ

һƪУȻ˵ֻһԶժҪ

Ҳ̫֪ˣ1986ʱȫͿʼʹɹϢķ
ҷ⡷ַɱѧϵƹġйɷϵ
ͳȫʹϵͳĺֹǧˣ˵Ǽ¢
˾硣һԺһʦ÷ɿ⣿Ҫ֪ϵͳ
һ˶Ұְɣк֤ͬΪֻ֤йƲȫ
ְûΪȥ˾򣬰ͬǼͳˡɴ
ûͬҽЩǷƲȫǺ߸ɵĹΪʲô
ݷάȨðְֿЦıķ
ҵĳҡǮ

ԶժҪǰְ쵼Ŷ90ڵĳɹΪʲôҰְֱ
¼κ˶˸߼ְƣڣ˹Ժ
ͱԶժҪɹ֮ǰ˶ˡⲻ
ܸıġ

Ų֪ɣְ֮󣬹ڶλƸϯ
ʡϯѧңƼܼΪ˿ƼָʾרΪ
˺ͷļϣҵӰԺصĿϢҵ
쵼˵ҵӰԺǿΪＯ2֧
зйԺ߹Ժʿ򽲣ҿϢҵŵļ֤ˡֻ
Ϊ³ͻȻȥְִ󣬴뵽طĲ쵼
񡢹ԼڶѣһҹѸٵشӱʹ߳
쵼µŶƼ߷ôȫȫ棬
ڹ²ʱתҰְأ֪дΪ
ѲѽôͷκôΪʲôӻ֢ʱɥʧ
ǣ׿ҽѧ֪ʶš̫ҽĻԣӦ˳ǻ衱
˼ˡ

һ˵ǰְڰѡβʱߴˣҲӦ
ض˿Ϸȫ򹥻ҪٷϺϣ
ʲôû򽻴ṩ£ĿͿԿҵ
̫ҽֹֻǽṩĲ֤ݣôס
ʵϺ缺Щ˲⣬Ψ²ңܿɾ
ְ뿴һ۶αأ

ʵҪߴҲӲΣȫҡСð̷ѵ
ûΣʵվȨһֱԼϡͨ
ʲô֤İ취һκãܱ֤ҽ
һ˵Ҫҽû˵ҡ̫
ҽԼ޻Լǿʶֶαӡ

ʱҰְͷŸһп֪ͨѣȻҲϧ
Ұ취裡һзȫǸɹ֮󣬻л
ǵŶˡҪŴƭ¡Ͽ쵽ҽԺ
ָʾ⣬ʲôʵ£

˵ǴƭӣҪóɿֻ֤һ
νߵľõķ̸档¹ĴϣҰ
𣿡ɥʧǵʱ˭ĻýϺίǸ㷢ʼ
ҪȥҽԺΪơ𣿡

Ұϵһ˵ְָ̫(1.82)߸
Ϊϵ٪壡ûָʾëϯҲ1.82
ףְְǡǱɡ¼ҵк1.82ףҽ
ˣһҥˣҲ̫û˵˰ɣֺ£
ղ֪֮ͬʲôϵ̫Цˡ

ʵϣܶʱ˽ۡһֱ˽¹
Ϊлܳ׵ǮѧɭǮѧɭǮҰְֵ伴
ǮѧɭͼݵĹʱְʹĶʮȵ⣻ְְ
ĻشʱתýܸĻԭΪ֤ȴ
ҪΪռǮѧɭйزϣ׼гһտɹǮϡ֪
̲󣬾Ͳʲôʱͬ˵Щ¡Щ
֪껼֮ǰͬͨ绰Ա߳ɵʾ
ڼ䣬绰ɿˣҲδͬ˵󼸾仰ɱ

費Ļ˭أá衢Լл
ʲôţ˲沵Բʲô
ǳΪְֵ涥кãţɵһ˹֪֮
ѿ͸ǰѲͨʱô˵ģʱְ
಻ǰɣϧˣٹ裬Ҫתְ֡
𣿰ְ־ô

ƾʲô˵ҽͿɾҽʱ(
ˣ)йҿίιյձ߱ʰ
֮⣬ˡʲôաô֪ûκһ
ҽҴ˰ƱʬʱҽʿµʱҲûã
硣¡Ǹʬڰοѡ֪CT
ʱ״˵ȷ𣿡

жҽˣҴø˲Ӹ߸ɣĸҲݸ
ȫвҽԺҸ֪ĸĳҽ
󲻵£ڽ5£ˡ˵ʲôأԴΪ̻
̫ҽĽڣ̫ˡ

Ϊ˱Ұְ֣ڹµͬʱҰְûʲɼֻ
һԶժҪˡҵԭʲôǡ֮λ޴ǡ

ϵ˵ѵ˵ôֻһԶժҪأ̫˽
ˣ˽˵ɣ֪Ϊʲôϲ˵»
Ϊ˵ɧϹƴҰְ֣Ī
ˡ

йŻвԱСαأҰ׶ԩ޳
αҪǵ򷢲Ƶĵʯأ첻㣬ʧѲ
ݻݣϢ٣֪ʶޣɶӷʡ㰲ӣ㲻ģ
Ҳ70ˣԼСҲ̫ƽ˵ദҲ̫ãڻ
ҪҰְ--ˣԵԵ⹫Ŷ׻׻


ʵѽһԹձ칫¥
쵼Ƕһʱʱšձν߼ߡɼ
ͻĿҡаЭĳ¡ȵȵĽƣͿдǿʶ
ҥڵ֣ӣܻ󣬰ܻ¼ҵ(⹫
ȱǽͨеĵһгԳ£¼汲
ʵʵˣ)αأⲻŭòͷ
˺ߣǸԼĨ

Ǹ̫ˣ绰ܲͷûӾ
ҵĵ绰Ϊ˴򿪴⣬ռθҴ绰
ѯʡҸҪȥ֤֤Ӳ˵֤ӪģշѸߡҲš
ǲҵֻùҵ绰Ҳ𣿡б̣
ȰȰ㣬ҲûЧ¼ҳ߿࣬ǹ㲻
˵Ȱ˵Ҷ˻ΪѣǱһĳزο
ܶļȲطϣ˵˵ߵڰף, ʹҲ
ҲϹй࣬ԭ£Щʵ𣿡

ΪһҪЩĻҲʵûնϸǸˡ
ϸ͸˿®ɽĿαء

һ񫣬ҰְּҰڶҲˣҲ
ס벻Ըסˡע⣺ǿûѪԵϵҲѧ
Ǿıʣñޣ

αأ

ƽͥ͡һ㲻

ף                                 2009.7.26

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

Ƶھ

ߣ·

ϸ˵Ƶھʲôרҽѧ飬˹˶磨
ĵȵʶԻƵ粮ʴʽдɣ
ϲʡ²ࡷӦ˵ڵʱлؽ
ģʶŬ

ʵϣֻҽйöҵоۡƵھ
ȳĽȣʱȫԡоƵھͷֻǺ
඼ûдеõʲôмֵĳɹʵκһѵ˱Ӧ
Ԥϵġǰ;ʵҲֻҽ絽ڶûо
ѣڻڸνġѧо

ƵھԺͨ˵עķӣ
Լ˲䣬ġƪۡѾεҽǧˣ
ټһЩŴҽңƩνҽʥپš˺ۡ롶
ҪԡԡƵھĲųơԾעԡƵھΪν
ϵָνҽѧʵľԵĵĽͣʹⱾѷ˻Ƶ
Ŷ۸߶ȣҲŵ춨ˡƵھⱾҽ粻ɶҡ
ߡۡλٲȻΪˡָʾҸġ

ûбҪ̰ˣҲûɷ̰ˣǵȱ١
εɫ䡷ȴǲʵ˼Ʃ
ź⡢֮ȣԼܳĹ⣬ȱٿѧ̽
ľֻիЩڤ롢ܲ⡢롢ơϼ
νӶѣʵϼȱϵ֤Ҳȱϵ֧֡
λҽҩѧͦĽʦ˵پʱҩ
оЧŵ׷ΪдƷ裨裬ҽɫ
ݣЧ߲˳ҩ˻߲ˣӽͰ
ʹãѹҽ˿дʵ˵ҽʵģ
ҽõöԲԾͲ˵ˣʵϣҽҲ
ĴͳҽѧáִҽѧȽȷУӹãҪ˵
𣿡˵ҽҲȷʵʵģν˵
顣˵ǣʹͬһŷӿãõı׼ʲô֪
ͣһˣ˵Ч𣿾˵ʵ飨So terrible
ǳɹ𣿴ִͳѧĽǶ˵ûͳ壬ѡ

Դپдˡ˺ӲۡǷȷڻ
˵Ӧǡ˺䲡ۡעҽҴӳ޼һʼͺù
ˣΪνġ˺ѧɡڵҽԺУ˺Ծһרҵһ
о򣬴ⷽġڡҲ֮ꡢ
ŴȽԣٵˡִҲвνңͲ
˵ˣΪ顣

ôԶˣٻصƵھ˵ʵֻСƵھ
СƵ⾭˵ʧˣҲˡҿûˣǸ
鷳ҲСھɡŪ⾭ɡҲûпܵ¡
û¾ϲ룬ԼԴ뵱Ȼѧоʵһ
ʷһЩҽҵͿԿóǴ಻ʲôѧңʵ
ңһЩνĴ壬ˣνΪ࣬Ϊҽ붼Ц
Ѿѧʫʸ踳㵽һҲȷʵЩͷԣʵϣ
ܶûгΪҲûгΪҽˡŴ򡱣ǵҵ
ͬߣɱҲ

иֵҽԺУȻһſγ̽ҽѧ˵
ֻһʲôѧ˵ʷѾ֤ǴѾ֤αľ͸ú
Եľʹ󵨷·Ϊʲôһѧ˵أѧ˵ֻ
ΪչʷоŶԣʷרҵ񲻸ãʵӦģ
Ϸ˵˵˵ڡƵھҵݣֻ
ǺҲ㲻˭ǶԵģԶɡһҽ̿
ͿóͨƪϷ壣ʵʲôҲû˵ʲôҲûн
һĻǣҽǸʲô鶼װֱǡ
μǡ޵׶ֻҲμ񻰣ҽʵ

ƵھȻĶѾܲˣ
⾭ʧ𣿣Ӧñ˵ڣ
ʲôأҽΪֿоһ»ǲģΪѵڬ
硶˺ۡⷽĹ𣿾ԱΪҽѧ䡱
Ϊѧ䡱ѧϰΪôĶ࣬£
ͺܲˡ

κﶼҪҵȷλãҲǿѧоǰᣬҲǱҪġ

ƵھڿѾ˲ҽԺУͬΪһרҵҽ
ֻƵھһƪ۶ѣʲô·أ

ƵھΪѧΪʷоĻŻȽǡ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ϺƾѧѧԺʿи߼ͲʿĳϮ

ߣ¥

󺣹鲩ʿͿʿɱϢ˸е𾪺ϧͿʿڹ
ܽΪֻרоһok֪ڸУˮܶѧƵְ
ڸѧƵĳЩСͿʿصõƾֻװ
飬úþͱƣҪӴƤٸϵͿ
ʿһҪԭ򣬾ǻعӲ磬̫塱
֪ڹڸУںͲʿѧˮƽûﵽȽˮƽͶƵˮ
ƽѴﵽ¯ࡢ뻯ľ磬Ϳѧ廪ѧ
ԼʦϺƾѧʿ͹ĵĵġǬŲơ

һֱԸѧһЩ»ϼӰҢͥ
֮飬ͳѧҢͥϺƾѧһֱͶ
£ǵԼѧˮƽǵڽڻĹԸ
ϺƴĶҢͥںѧʱһЩ⣬ڸ
̾ʹҢͥڱܺõϽڣڵǰĲʿҲ֮
࣬ҲһЩνĲʿͶȡɡƭֶεĸ߳Ңͥ
ʿͷıҵ£

[1]ͣҢͥ䣬лѡڷյָꡣͳ
о20036

[2]䣬ͣҢͥлھıȽϣͳ
20037

[3]䣬ͣҢͥлھõ뼼ͳ
20038

[4],,лƶ绰ͻʧھͳ
20051¡

л̨帨ʴѧͳϵڣ1991ų̀ѧũ
ʿڸˮƽΣɵվhttp://www.stat.fju.edu.twһΣ
ڿ¾ͷ176ƪȻҲĵ£־ʲôˮƽ
һ֪˵ھ򣬶ھˣֻҪ
ŵѧϵںһȣͿ˵ĵжߡ
ѧѧԺϵڣʦҵϺƴҢͥĲʿ廪
ʿ󣬱ųйڹ̵Ŀߡʽڹʦѧй½
Ա廪ηУ

͵Ĳʿǡȫмծȯгշֻе
һƪ벩ʿأ඼ھġ֪ͳоǹͳ
һȨ־µѶȺܴ󣬶͹һ£ȴڽ
ָܷVARĻ֪ʱ͹ⷽȵоº
кֻܶ࣬ڽܻ£ܵͳоϣ
¶ǹھģһ͵ڶҪְ֪ʿڹ
ԭ򣬰ͲøϽҵмծȯгоҵ
ﻹȤȥоھһ;ھ
Ǵ͵ʦ֣ʦܱҵѣʦֻһѣ䣬лԴѧ
䵱д֡ĵСһڿϽѧ㳵Ϊ
ԭ򲻳Щ¾4ǣϵ
£һؾͨôᷢڵһƪµĶ
б༭£

߰:Ңͥҹͳѧ,һֱԱ֧֡
Ңͥڲ벡ħвΪ˱ǶŽڵľ,
ڵ678 Žѧߺƪ¡ԸҢͥ
տ

ԭͳо༭Ϊ˹벡ħζ
ܷҢͥڡҲΪѧáô˻Լ䣬ѧ
ĴϽһӣҲסѧ˵
ã廳Ңͥڣͳƽ20085ڣʹĳãҲ
̷עˮһѡעˮʿưɡ༭ҪҲҪ
ЩˮƽߵĵӣҲðˡעˮʿҵĵ
̫ۡ

ɶ˴͵Ĳʿģַ䲩ʿĴسϮڲʿĩ
βлһ䣺лй㽻ĸᡱĵ
ύ200310£ڶʿڼһµλй㽻
ģõλйֱҵλעйУУ
йвһУ൱ǹһأйһ
ҵУǰ죩õλվ
http://www.chinamoney.com.cn˵õλ֯ȫм㡢ծȯף
ͲʿĿемծȯгָĴ󲿷·VAR
ĻԼмծȯгĽܵȷϻƪĳҪ
ߺгָϣ»֣ᷢûʲôοףĵ
µͬƾղһߡǰ޹ˡĶͲʿ
ĵĴµд

ģԼֳ߹췽˷Ƚϣѡָ
߽˾̬ƣߵ̬Ͷ̬ݱʾмծȯг
ķ

ѧͶѧǹ̶γ̵˶֪߹Ҫݽ
ɸѡһҪͲʿһɸѡծȯ
йʽŷǳ죬ǰĺ춥еĹʽǳơ
ǹһ˾ǰĹλ͸ù˾Ӵ춥
Ҳṩǵ߷ҵܣƴһֱ
Ϊѧϰû⴫ںܶڻμӹù˾Ĺ̶ѵ
ڿʦ2002춥˾ͺй㽻ĺṩй
ߺծȯָƵļ֧֣ϢܴӺ춥ҳϿ
http://www.hongding.com.cn/about.asp?id=6#six2ǰһ
ȣѽ񰡣ӹʽһģһǺ춥ҵ
μӹͻй㽻ģбͺоôܵ
Ͳʿ?ְʿƽʱϰ࣬пڵλӴ
ϲϮԴΣϮǳȷơԼֳ
߹췽˷ȽϡôͲʿӦðѶַһ飬
ԼӽۣȻѡһõķûһ
ֺĹֱӲָԭ춥˾ǲָ
μѶĽ
http://bond.money.hexun.com/detail.aspx?sl=1814&id=760953Դ
ʿҲȽˣֱӰ˹ͲʿһݼȫԺ춥
˾ҵ

ֵ˲̾λʿͶȡɡֶεĸ߳⽫ʿĿ
ΪмծȯгоΪծȯгǡǡй㽻ĵ
Ҫҵ˵λĿоʿоݺأἱ
¼ְʿƽʱϰ࣬ܽӴ˾ṩλϣ
˾л᳭ϮӵԼСĵĴµдߵ
̬Ͷ̬ݱʾмծȯгķߵƽ̹ӳ
гծ̳ΪأǱڷǾ޴ġֻҪ֤ȯҵԱ
֪2003йծȯгծ̳Ϊأ⼸һ
ҵ糣ʶо˲ʿĵһش֣ҢͥǸѧ
ģﶮýгЩϣΪѧĴ£˵
ɣоҢͥʿ˸ơ

ǳСģߺƣλΪһо
ծȯгĲʿרңӴλϡ᳭Ϯ
ЩϣƴĺƵʦڵʦֱһдµѧ
ôڲʿĩβлм˵Ҫлй㽻
ᣬʹлӴйгʵ񣬸ҵо
ṩһ̨ʵʴ˵лй㽻ĸ
ṩôõҵܵĻᣡ2007Ϊйڹѧ
ֻԱУhttp://www.docin.com/p-157088.htmlһͣ
й㽻ĸ߼ȫͬҵġϺƾѧĲʿѧλ
ãƾ߳ĺ̶̼쵽˸߼Ǻǣ
λй㽻Ĳ֪ԼƸһڹһֱΪһ
ʿרҡ֡ǬŲơǺǣд
һƪִİ档

ڴһ-гָʦ2002дһƪһ
µĹзնָ꼰Ӧõ£ƪ·񼸺ûã
ְڴ˻ϺһͨŪ˼ѧʽˡ
ʦʦܹĵģƭɹ쵽˲ʿѧλʦϺƴ
Ĳʿѧλɻ죬ɾԼװǣһĺ£ʦ
ĻرȻ񡣴½оĶûгݺܶо޷У
廪ڵĺͼ鶼омծȯгģƩ2004
11ͳоġмծȯгоһȷ
й㽻FϵͳҪ֪FϵͳǸõλծȯϵͳ
ͻڻʹãhttp://www.chinamoney.com.cnгչ
ϵͳFϵͳֹͣĹ棩ΪѧôӴϵͳ
ٿڵһƪ¡мծȯг޽ṹģ(
ѵ),мݣںѧ˵󶼽
ͶУֻ˵廪ѧߣ˵˵ˮƽߣ
ڵϽδţԼμӹй㽻ߵĿ
ûʦܵڹ¿ֲɡй
20075·һڽҵڻгչο׼
֪ͨҪӦծǼǽι˾ƹ߼
㽻ͷֵûвй㽻ĵߣɼ
ڳ˸ݷҲûʲôϣڲҪҴˡ
Щνʦʦܣ໥ᣬһŻʲô
ŵʦ廪ѧڱѧ࣬˺Ůѧ
ҲƯҪǼ٣Լ

ڶ˵ʿߣ˶ʿԼĲƴͬѧԼȫѲ
ѧλҵҪҹЩְʿҸĶܱҵȣ
ƽ⡣ʿߣЩְòʿְʿˮƽߵģС
ĳ㻵ˡǿҽѧУ繫вʿϢļ
淶ʦоøѧҢͥڱѧƵٷ
ѧĽָѧþѧĲʿѧλⲻŹƸЦ
ѧĽڡʿ״Ϳʿէûϵ
ϴֲ٣ߵһżȻ
ʱˣûͩˡ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ϴѧľѧԺԺФҽڵְ

ߣgamebug

쿴£һڼְ⣬Ҳ̫˽⣬صдһ
¡쿴һƪФҽڽ귢һƪ£дͨѶַϼݴ
ѧҼǵФѾǺϴѧľѧԺԺе֣ص
һ¡ϼݴѧľ뻷ϵFull-Time and Research Facultyһ
ҵФҽڵҳ
http://www.usc.edu/dept/civil_eng/dept/faculty-staff/faculty-directory/xiao-yan.htm
ФҽڵоܣAt the USC Stevens 
Institute Innovation Showcase, held on March 28th, 2007, Prof. Yan 
Xiaos innovative design of modern bamboo bridges was selected as one 
of the only three exhibitions. Professor Xiao spent his sabbatical 
leave last year conducting and directing collaborative research at the 
Hunan University of China, creating ways to use the giant grass as 
raw material for making composite materials for structural 
applications.ںϴѧվϣФҽڵļ
http://ce.hnu.cn/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=595&Itemid=290
20065ѾκϴѧľѧԺԺѵһ
ϼݴѧfull-timeڣͬʱּκϴѧľѧԺԺһְ
ڼڻعʱǷֻд

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

㲻⣬־

ߣû



˿Ǳˮֻǿ֣δйðݵͷԷѧ
٣Ȼᶨ֧֡˿Щӣ˵ĺ͸ǳ

ômany could be better than allMBTAû
Ȩ棬ţᵽ־ڵƪAIJ02(IJCAI01
µļӳ)϶һԼеĪ־ڵ
ƪģģPerrone&Cooper1993ԭģԭģϸ
ݶһ顣㲻⣬鷳ܽڽ֮

1.  Ĺʽ16ԭp12ʽͬԶ׼һ΢ֻѧ
ѧԺõĴһѧɵóĽۣôһ˵2a>b,
ôҸɣ2a>b㣬Ҳɡһ˵a<=b/2,
ɣa<=b/2㣬Ҹɡ˵ôڹ(2N+1)
2N-1Ĳ죬ֻģNõòһѣһ˵ҿ
2N+1һ˵ҿ2N-1˵Ҳûôѵһ
ƵѧֱûУ⡣

2.  ĻһԭĲһĵطԭŵϵʱ
ٶϵ֮ͱΪ1ÿϵܴ1ҲС0
֮⣬ÿϵµ1ҲС㡣Ĺ
ʽ1ܽûнΪʲôҪҲûƵ
Լµģϵʱʹܹ졣ĵƵԭ
ƵûκβͬŽ⣬µԼ1
ѧĽǶȿĵƵǴģΪõĲ΢Ϥһ㲻
ʽԼµļСѧ߶֪ʽԼûеʽԼôô
һأʽԼµ⣬ûclosed form ʽĽ⡣
ܽڣʽԼͬԭеĵʽԼΪʲôҲclosed 
formûʽԼԭһĽ⣿ܲԭĽҲ
ȻءӵĲʽԼʵԭĽⲻ
ʽԼӶȥءΪ֮

3.  Perrone&CooperڵԭУЭCԪC_{ij}ʾ
ָlatexʽͬC^{-1}ԪC_{ij}^{-1}ʾ
ԭûȷ˵һ㡣Ŷ߿жݵ󣬵
ʱ򣬻C_{ij}^{-1}ʵ˼ڴѧرйѧѧγ
ͷcһһc^{-1}1/cʾcĵ
ƵƵУҲC_{ij}^{-1}ʾC^{-1}ԪȻûж
C_{ij}^{-1}ױΪ1/C_{ij}ķŸκν͡Ȼû
ָ֮⡣ģǰ˵ķҲѧϰеһҲһ
ȱ㡣ֻǾеֵֹģԭ̫ˣѧʦ̵Ҫ̫
ˡΪ֮

ɷ鷳־ڽ֮

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

־¼ʾһ֪ܵˡʾ

ߣKolmogorov

־ĵѾжʱˡĳһԽԽѧ֤չ
֣һ۽ܿ˰ɡ죬ֽһʱйصӷһ
˳ид²졣

ȣڸ˵ģĵϣѡһ֪ܵˡ 
ʾ⡣ѧ¼Ĺз˾Եáͬʱ
ָ̬еܲȻһʼֻ֪Ҫȥϸƪ
ԭʼһоʹ£¼Ҹ໹񿴿һع
ֻǵԽԽ¾ȥ̽ࡣԣڹ
ѧȱĲ֡ΨϣֻΨʵĵϣӿָ
һ֪ܵˡһĴѧߣ

¼ԣҵидһ仰ҺѧΣ
ȻڹںܶطѧϷǲǴѧѧ
͹۴ţֻͨԽԽͬʱκ
Ҿж˼˶ǿŵģĳЩ˿Իʧ
룬ҲǶ¼һܺõעŰɣңȤǵ˽
ٴλعһ¼гֵĸʱĻᾪ̾ĳЩ˵ıݡ
Ʃ磬ٿĳλٳRumelhart rediscovered Werbos' BP 
algorithm" Ϊĳ绤ʱ̲סȻʧЦRumelhartǰPDPΰҵȻ
˵裬Կ

ѧϰһΣ򰡣ܽѧҵƷҲ
ֻӢĸͨ̽õģǾѧƫ۵оɣ
Ҳױһץסѱǣ׼ƩSVM
VapnikڿͳƻнĴµġѧϰ
SVMıȥһPetrovġ֮͡һɣҲ
ж٣ѧϰܶʱԿͳƵӦáѧͳ
ѧ𣿶һ³ϣġߵͳѧҰĽ
ϰһɣһѧƵľ衣ͬأҲ֪ڹ̽м
ĿɮƵѧоԼ۱ȵȻȷһЩСĶƽ
Сˡܽѧ𲽽׶ξųͷصѹܻ
ҪӦĿ˻ǷܾνĴѧĺ˵
ʱǡڽɼɣ룬Щһ¼
ֵÿλѧߺú˼

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

˱

ߣĦ
http://www.immusoul.com/

ĺôǿʱĶһ߰ıֽҾһ
1016յġ̨һƪ£ĿΪβ
ʶ2012Ұľġ

λŮʿ˵ǡĻоҡ塢̬
ΪʲôйһҲΪ2012ųתģȻ˵
ΪýĮӣһšĴñӣͶɱйԭ
е˺һԣʹռܵϰ
⡱޴𡭡ͻصű䣬˵ľȻҲ
仰˵ڵÿһ˰Լɴ壬
תųűȻеͻأȻ쵫
ѧҡҽѧҡҽѧҡѧҡڽ̼ҡѶʿýȣ
ֻͬҪתͻΪϣ

˴ͻȻλһҲطɻҲ׵ˡҷǳ
Ůʿһ£ܷıųأ

Һһ˱⡷0904ƪ½ġ
Ҿÿ԰ƪµԢĳɹһԶ
򲻹ġ

ýΧִ¿Էֳ࣬һóɱһֹۺá
ýʢޣΪǴΧķй˴һͳ
ۡû뵽ⱡɱص죬һȷ
·׺ݵĹɱΪһֱǴ治

ʵΧ˶֪νֹۣǽ·ϵġһ
ֻȾ߱˸߳·Ĵֹ۲ܰӮ塣ֹ˭ûаҲС
Ҳ֪Χ岻ܾھֲʤҪʱעƣս
֮Ҫȥͷһλ׺ݵͷһ̣û
ҵĴֹأͱ˼ҳԹˡ

λŮʿɱ廹ûѧأͿʼоġʦ
ųʲô֪Ϳʼ֧ˡһ̨ѧң
ϲ̵½Ҫӵ⽨ţֻΪйͳ㿴йͳ
ð˺һôغг

Уֵ˵˵˺һˣЩ˵µǣ
ǵǸҽͽʲô˺һʵʵĺòã
йʥǷԲĶ֪˺һȻй
ͳô㣬Ϊʲô챧ԹȾ˿ڱըθܰ

ðҺһ㣬ҳ˺һȻģͦ
õġʾ൱ΧĴֹۣȵðֱ
̸Ļһһһķ¸ġ
Ҫһ䡰˺һ˵ⲻ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

һѧƸƶ

ߣͿ

ĴѧرĴѧκεȼʽְڣں
ڣƸзǳϸƸ̶¿ѭΪ˷չ
һµо뿪£ϵٿְͶƱǲ
ѧԺ뿪ȱͬѧԺյϵĿȱٿרŵĻ
룬ΪʱѧԺҲͻѧУ롣

ѧԺѧУ׼ԺϵһרŵƸίԱᡣƸίԱ
дһƸݵѧУ²ţ²ŰǵѧУҳ
ϺһЩصҳԼ־ϡƸϻǳдƸԱְ
𣬵ȼԼĽֹڡҲЩƸû˵ȼʱ
ȼƸԱ

һҪƸԱҪĲϼĸѧУ²ţҲЩѧУ
ҪѲϼĸƸίԱĸˡЩϰ̵Ľѧоƻ
˼ԼƼ˵ϵʽҲЩѧУֱҪƼš

յԺѧУᷢһִһʾյʾл
ƸίԱеĳԱϸĶϣȻͶƱѡѡˣһ
ѡ˲ʮԺƸίԱĸ˻ʺѡ˵ƼҪƼŻ
ֱӴ绰˽Ȼѡĺѡ˽е绰ԡ

绰ͨӦƸ߻ᱻ뵽ѧУԣһ±߲
ˡΪߵĻѶѧУԼҲԤ㡣Ⱦ
˱ƸίԱҲͻɡѧУԵӦƸ
ᱻѧ棬ϵеʽְۣԺеĻᰲ
УܵĸУǾһλӦƸϵͶƱȨĽְ
ýְĽڣͶƱġݵƱĶٸӦƸ
λᱨԺ

һԺܿ׼ʱϵĸ˻Ⱥڵһλϵ
۾ϸڣȼʣѣȡߴͳ
һѧУ²žͻϵҪƸ֪֪ͨͨд
ʣѡߴﲻͳһӦƸҪ󳬳ϵ˵ְȨ
ΧϵѧԺ򱨸棬ѧԺ׼²ŻԺҪƸͨ
֪

ȴͳһյƸ֪ͨƸ˻ܿǩֵƸ֪ͨ
ءյִ²ŻƸߵıе顣һʵ£
ͬͻЧ

ڵһλƸߴﲻͳһƸ֪ͨȻڹ涨
ʱûյӦƸߵĻִϵͻڵڶλӦƸϵ
ڶλȻûнܣһϵﲻֱӺڵλϵΪֻʣ
һˣûбȽϡʱϵһӦƸߵѧУԣȻ
ͶƱԭڵλĺͺ˵

ȻôӵḶ́ζһеˡв
ˣڶһ´ˡ

ѧУḺеİҷá

Ƹ̿ȥӣֻҪ涨ƶȺ͸ŵְʵ
ܼ򵥡ۺ̨ĸУһҲʵƸƶȡĿǰ״
ûκһУʵѾ֤ɹƸƶȡ⣬һ
У˵Щϵ϶ǱУıҵߣЩ˶ʦ
ܡУһ˺ԼĸУҵʽĽְ

ڷʽְƸ̾ͼ򵥵öࡣٸӣκһʽְ
Լоѵ¶вʿ

˵⻰캰ںţѧϰƶһõƸƶȣֻ
ˣƸõ˲š

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

Ϳ²ʿ

ߣ֮

Ϳ£У19778£㽭ˣ1995920016¾Ͷ
廪ѧ20006»ˮˮ繤רҵѧʿѧλ20016»ѧѧʿѧ
λ2001920076¾Ͷѧֱ20042007
˶ʿͲʿѧλѧ²ʿо20096
Ѯع㽭ѧѧԺ2009917賿2㽭ѧλ
ȪУۺ¥11¥¥32ꡣ飬˵ѧȦп
顱ѻ飬һŮ

ҲʶͿʿȥ֮ǰҲδ˵֣ΪͿʿͬ
֮ͬѧ׷ĸ߽̽ʦΪȥеʹϧȻ¡

70ˣѧȷļֵۣҵľ
ԹƽĻʹǿͨŬȥıᡣΪ廪ѧ˫
ѧλѧĲʿͿʿͬеٮٮߡû߳
ţڸ̾ʱɡѧ޳ʱҳ룬˭ƶѧ
ķչδŵڸʲôѧָңţ
ӵģ廪ҵֱӵҮ³ʿѾ
CNSϷ£㣬˰ɣȻͬͿʿľԷ
ţ˵ı׼ֻǣûлκνɱˡ

ѾָƣΪһЩйˣڼ˶ӵ
£Ҳ沢ɼЩȣͿʿȷʵëҲ
Լ˲̫СǣһЩеˣѼ
ֵۿıأǡɱˡ

ͿʿҲ֢һ֢8겢ò
ʿѧλѧ£3¾ɱˡɱҽѧ
⣬ڰɱΪ֢ҲĽڡΪ
ѧоչĴо㽭ѧĻ
ɱķѧơ

Ϳʿ֮ǰѻ֢һŴļ
ůǡǡߣ֢ߣ
ǷԼƶ˵ĳɼֵóƵȻ
᲻

Ϳʿȥˣܷͼǿ¼ѧǵľ
ŲŲ룬ڹƽѾΪ
˼άģʽزŵͷƽʼǵһݼֵ
Ų

Ϳ²ʿ࣡

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ⲩʿٺ

ߣ

˿(XYS20091029)ߡҲǺ顱дһλ

ѧУְҲֱ࣬Ӳڣռ
Ҫµ׼ǽʦ൱ڹ
ڣ
Դ˷ӼһӰڡڶǽ
һ֣ڲڵĽʦڲͬ
ҲǹڵһѧУⷽǸĸ˵ģ
ʿԴʿڲĸǣ˼Դʿ
ôйˣԱУⷽѾʽӹˡ

λȻ󵼡̸ѧⲩʿһָҵҵĲʿ
Щҵĺⲩʿֻмٲ־ϸڳɹΪоʹѧ
ͲʿĵʦȻûвһʣڹҵңڱʿ
вʿĲʿ֮ĺ蹵Զڹڲʿ뽲ʦ֮
Ĳ࣬ΪڵѶԶйΪڵѶȡڱѾ
оʹѧʿڵˣлعְ񲻹νʦġ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ԱɽӰʵ㷨

lw56102ԱɽӰᵽWHOվϿ
صʣ͵Ϊ0.41%ŷޣߵ2.21%

ǸWHOվе͸Ⱦģ3539 
/ 160129=2.21%ݶYangӳڼʱ

һ3539ޣAmericas
ֹ20091017գΪ1004ˡ

http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/fluactivity.htm

160129ǰͳƳĸȾֹͣͳƸȾ
ڹм˱Ⱦ2סԺǧ

http://www.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/10/24/h1n1.obama/index.html

뼾е൱ƴԼ
0.007%~0.045%

http://www.reuters.com/article/healthNews/idUSTRE58E6NZ20090916

ӣ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

עһϽѫѡ

ߣkaixin

ʡһͨʦѫѡΨһܾǣ
Ҳڽ翪ʼһ˶˶ĵԸӵĳ̶
ˣ

˿עһͶƱַǣ
http://jygx.yninfo.com

ĺѡԴΪЦѡƱٶͬЦѡǿЦ
ѾˢƱǰڹϼһ䣺ѡͶƱ
ΪרοݣΨһݡ ͼֲһ£ⳡϷ
ճ˵ʵڵģǷǳڴµĽ֡

ͬʱҲעһǰһЩ㣺Уһ֡ѡ
ʦȫԱƸơ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ѧѧ¼û˸˵ǲȥ

ߣoztiger

רҵʿӦֻڱ֤ȫȥڹʵ/ֵ
飬ǹ涨ɡôûۣ

ˮ˷ǳΣգץסǲŵģСⲻ
󡣾ȳ˵Ļûͽ־ˣûѵ˲ӦȥӾؾ
һð취ֱӳصװƣԱܼƯҲࡣ

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ܼñȥְ Ԭʽ

1031յ (׾εȻ)63ܼýΪ6
йڣǴǰνԬʡ

磬ʮһȫ˴ίʮһλͨȥܼõĽ
ְԬΪ

Ԭ59ְ꣬ҵĴδ뿪򡣴19ڼ
簲ʡصѧʦ1978꣬Ԭʿȡʦѧѧϵ
ȡ˶ʿѧλҵڱʦѧν̣˺θУƴ
񳤡УίǡУ2001꣬ԬʱΪ

ԳơһӶںͽ򽻵ܼãйĸǰһ
ѧҵ廪ѧ1980기ѧŦԼѧʿѧλ 1984
ѧɻعܼý뻪ѧν̣13θУУѡΪ
ԺԺʿ19992002꣬ȺκʡίίʡƼ
ίǡггְ2002ܼ꣬ñΪ
ν

ʮһйڲٷȡͻƣĿ
ʵ֣ߵȽҲ˴ӾӢڻʷԿԽ
ۻ֢ؽҽΡνԬǰ
ɡǰгڽĸͷչ滮ҪƶԬ
κйĸ򽫱ܹע

ԬβйĿǰλֱǳϣ³꿡
С櫡졢ƽ

Ԭʼ

Ԭ У壬195011չˣ19752뵳19695
²μӹʦѧѧרҵҵоѧ˶ʿѧλڡ

ν

1969-1978  ʡׯѧߴѧʦ

1978-1984  ʦѧѧϵѧרҵѧϰѧʿ˶ʿѧλ

1984-1989  ʦѧѧϵʦϵ

1989-1995  ʦѧƴ񳤡̿ư츱

1995-1996  ʦѧУ

1996-1998  ʦѧί

1998-1999  гнίΣʦѧί

1999-2001  ʦѧίǡУ

2001-2005  ԱֹίԱ

2005-2009 

ʮ߽ίίԱھšʮȫЭίԱ

ܼü

ܼ У壬19468Ϻˣ19767뵳19703²μ
ŦԼѧ()еרҵҵоѧʿѧλ
ڣйԺԺʿ

1965-1970  廪ѧϵеרҵѧϰ

1970-1978  ½ѧԺʦ

1978-1980  йѧԺеרҵ˶ʿо

1980-1984  ŦԼѧ()еרҵѧϰ˶ʿ
ʿѧλ

1984-1995  ѧ(ԭйѧԺ)ʦеѧ빤ѧԺԺ


1995-1997  ѧУ

1997-1999  ѧУ(䣺1999굱ѡйԺԺʿ)

1999-2001  ʡίίпƼѧУʡƼ

2001-2002  人ίǡг

2002-2003  鸱

2003-2009  

ʮ߽ίԱھŽȫ˴

(XYS20091031)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

һΪ˰޷˿վĹ˽˿վĶ̬ؿ
˿ʼбxys@yahoogroups.com

ʼбÿ췢һ˿վ¸µϣÿµ׷һÿ
Ŀ¼ʼбĶμ롰˿֮ѡ
ʼбxys_friends@yahoogroups.com

ù䶩ġù䣬ܿ޷յ
Ƽ䣺yahoo.com, hotmail.com, gmail.com

ġ˿ʼбĵ䷢һհż

xys-subscribe@yahoogroups.com 

塢ͣ˿ʼбͣ䷢һհż

xys-unsubscribe@yahoogroups.com 

Ͷxinyusi@yahoo.comôıļͶ塣

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)
