                           ˿µϣ20090913գ

09.09.12ûи
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ӰڴокĹ涨ΪףФ
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09.09.11, пƴͬ־ش 
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ȥֹ֮ĽʵȫҪġ

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ѧӦںȾ

ȷںȾΣֻǶܱ߾ˮɵӰ󣬶
ںȾľʧѡúʩҲ˿ܡ

ĵѧʣʹȡκΪʩжȾԴ
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ںȾ¼һЩֵȶ

ȻںȾ¼úķҲڰԪˮƽ
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ǰķȡϴԡľʧǲҪ
ɵģܽʧΪȾҵͷ

ںŨȼ֮ûжһԭͺпѧ
£æرֵڣ˰ǧҵǷõĽ
취

ȻڴҶʶ׼ںһȾҵ
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ϵĻںȾ¼֮󣬾Ӧȡ
ѵúѧѧѧչۣѻãǽ¼˺
ưգΪ˺ͲȡĿ񻶽أ

(XYS20090913)

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ѧԺʵǷμݴѧУڣ

ߣæ͵

ѧԺļƪҶԱѧԺ
Ȥǳżæ͵ȥ˱ѧԺҳֹȻ˲żüã
㿪ӣ˵ġ˿Ӱ죬һ
Щ̲סǲעˮİҵǱеʵڵļ
е⡣ȸһ·νںϺĳƸ
ļμݴѧУڣȸӢļֻȷΪ
(Visiting Assistant ProfessorAssociate Professor ͬն)
ֻȷ96,97ꡣεļְ汾ȴÿζᵽθУ
ڡΪֵڱѧԺ0919յѧӢļ(Ӽ)
ҲûзζУһ¡ӢļӦǱԼύ
ģûɹԽ̨׽赭дڶ幤ԼԿ϶
ʵڵļ١عͷǷ
йءνܴѧͷҲӦоڡ

1. ʵļ(ժȡ
http://www.coe.pku.edu.cn/subpage.asp?id=1783)

ݴѧУڣܴѧҽѧ
ϵڡ

2. ļ(ժȡhttp://www.sjtu.edu.cn/teachers/2007/0901/91.html)

19896- 19902ѧҽѧԺʡҽԺWellman 
Laboratories of Photomedicineʡ۶ҽԺۿƼо
Ӿѧ֯໥õĻо19903199412£ 
ܴѧҽѧϵۿϵڣӾѧ
ۿͼҽѧĻۼӦо1994ݴ 
ѧУĲҽѧļۿϵְڣۿ
о

3. ṩӢļ
(http://www.coe.pku.edu.cn/subpage.asp?id=1369)

After received his Ph.D. degree,  Dr. Qiushi Ren became the 
faculty of Department of Biomedical Engineering as an assistant 
professor,  with adjunct appointment at Department of Ophthalmology 
and Bascom Palmer Eye Institute of University Miami, Miami, Florida in 
January, 1991, where he was working on innovative laser therapies for 
ophthalmic application. In January, 1995, he jointed the faculty  of 
the Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, Irvine, 
where he was working on excimer laser refractive surgery and new laser 
therapies in ophthalmology.

4. ӴУվṩӢ
http://www.editor.uci.edu/97-98/med/med.2.html

UCI 1997-98 general catalogue: College of Medicine Faculty

Qiushi Ren, Ph.D. Ohio State University, Visiting Assistant 
Professor of Ophthalmology 

5. ȸܴѧְ 

(http://www.accommodationclub.org/accommodation_club_meetings/1st_meeting/index.asp)
Qiushi Ren, Research Assistant Professor

(XYS20090913)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

ˮƽĲгɹش

ߣݲֳ

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1.춨ڴ

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3. йѧоԺ

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ƽĻԭǶйѧоԺȫ֪ʶӵ裬Ҳ
йѧоԺ裬ֱйѧоԺ

οף
1.йѧоԺҳ
http://www.casm.ac.cn/yjdw.php?col=29&cur=10
2.˵ģˮ׼Դ춨̽
3.ά˵ģˮ׼ϵͳԶϵͳ

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Ҳ˵ѧְƶ

ߣѧ

˵˿Ϻܶѧ£Ϊѧˣⲻ˹
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1ְʱûƶȻ˵ѧְ
ȫ쵼˼쵼ְίԱ쵼Ҫʱ
ְԱ쵼ְ࣬ƽΣһȥ꣬һνꡣ
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ƱͨӦû᲻ͬɣû˿

3ְĳûƶȻְĽûоʾ
Ϊ鹫λķ䷽Ҳÿ겻ͬ˵ԭһЩ
λԸλŵоҵоԱ룬ǽЩλȫ
ջȥˣҲ֪˭ˡѧϻһܿЦͶƱ
ѧҪѡ˻2/3޳Ʊͨжѡһλ
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2/3Ʊ

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չǷǳҪġѧڵְƶȴһ⣬Щʵ
һ˫нȻһЩ쵼Ŀռ䣬ͬʱҲȺڡ쵼ְ
ռ䣬ɻ쵼š͹۵˵ʶĺܶѧ
˶㡢ҵǿܲԴǣɡǵ
ǺܲġˣȻǸˣϣѧܹ
ڵƶдڵ⣬ְΪ˲ŵֶΡ

(XYS20090913)

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֮

ߣandrew

ʹңһͨԺУҵʮˣԶѧȦһЩͬѧ
ʦȵУģģģЩ˽ϵ⣬޶ϵѧ
ȦԶЩǱЩ׳ϰ£Լй
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ɨ˪ˡ

ҲΪ㣬ҷǳͷǾһѪĻлһΪ˴µ
档ܼ򵥣ЩҸʵǽµ淨򣬼ʹһٸʵ
ֺҳݣԸӦڡЩҸ棬Զûָд
ˣȻʿҲӦʿͬ߰ɡҲֻ
ĳЩҲĿƺһߣ˵³ģֱǺ
д̲ʹģ⻰ʵֵһʿǱһ˶ɵأ
ЩӢʷеЦڣģƭըҩճǿ
Ѳ֡

˵ôĿףǻصϣǶУʹĵ
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ᣬǽֻι״¼ҵʱ
ȻǹûʵƤ²ŵĺɳһС˵ᵱν
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ʢΣԣҲҶʿײֵưʷĽ
ĻȹʱӺͶԪⲿ󻷾ĳȻҪµϣ

һʱпˡ

صϣУ֮ܣֻҪԹѧȦԺУ߳ˣ
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ܣ뵥µѡίУܳһǶԵԼܵĽ
κζ£

еʱ룬飬̫ѧѪ飬ϴ
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һԽľһʱۻ೤˵ġţ˵⣬Ҿ۵
ʣһֱںܺглô

ҳѧ˼ǵʷעͬκȽۣ
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Բ˵ЩʲôʵҲѧĵģ˵Щ
ĿȾѡ

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ʱоܺ棬ҶԼ㹻һԲӹְʮ
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ʲôʱǵĵˮ׼ڵ¼̨ϷԵʱ͵
׼ˣҾȻΪһֱȮˡ

ȻҲԼСһԼһڹע
˿ǰһЩΥĵ£֮⣬ĳգ˿
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˰ɣ˵⣬ĳͬᣬ£ҲСײФ
ǲ˼ʶͬҽԺҪǲСģܵùԼ
д󲡣˽ҵ£ǲԸҪģһǲģ
ϵܾ˿ܶѶ֪һ㣬ܸܲ߳ĥ

ѣ˽֮ˣҪе֮¾ģΪǣ
ҲڸıǡӦûˣʹ˴ס

(XYS20090913)

˿(www.xys.org)(xys4.dxiong.com)(www.xysforum.org)(xys2.dropin.org)

Ͽѧġ¼Ӧ

ߣо

93ԺʿֵϹҼѧʦˣǲ˼顣
Լ뷽ӵۣҷ˵ҪÿһӦ
ǣϽҳôĳţôûһӦ
ԺʿͿԺΪԺʿͿѧܣԺʿͿԱݣԺʿͿ
ϲҪشѧͬĵ
http://www.xysforum.org/xys/ebooks/others/science/dajia10/shenpanwen11.txt
http://www.xysforum.org/xys/ebooks/others/science/dajia10/shenpanwen12.txt
ҲĵͨѶϵ˳վ˵һƪǡɱ
¹ظ˲űˣûзֵĲ֪ж٣ǻ
ⲻǸй˶

(XYS20090913)

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ʦѡԺʿ١Ӽʵſʵ

ߣЦ

Ц¶Ƿӵоص¶ƪ
(XYS20090907)ſͦΪڻظЦʱŹ
ԩҡЦͷϣظЦǷ
ŷо޹ϵ¡(XYS20090909)İӣ
ԩʼǵͷϡſǲܻû

ȻԩʼǵЦͷϣҾ桰Ц˵䡣ſ
ظûг⣬ұ¶µ⣺ӼӲʵ
ſ˵ѡ

ƪظѾᵽʦѧ(ѧ)˶ʿо
(ѧ)ڶʦϵ˶ʿҵֱӵѷԭʼɭְ
ʦչ鳤Ϊ̬ѧо1995ʦһعڱʦ
ѧһŽѧƣͳѧоҪԶΪо̽
ֶΪ⣩2000˱ʦѧרҵְʿ
תֽо
ԣʱȺʦоҪΪ׶Σ
һ׶Σ1993-2000ЭʦΪо
ڶ׶Σ2000Ժ󣩣ְѧרҵĲʿѧλо
ʼԼĶо

1	Լ˵һνֵʱ19914³ͣ
7¡19927£»˶ʿѧλһͬһΣ
ڴﹲͬȹ12
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2	¼ʦѧԺ
http://psych.bnu.edu.cn/teacher_student/gerenzhuye.aspx?username=95097%
Ϣժ¼
1	1989-1992, ˶ʿѧʦѧ;
2	1992-1993, ҿĽ;
3	1993-1994, оƾ(DEA)ͯչѧ
ѧ;
4	19952003, ʦ ʦѧѧԺ;
5	2000-2005, ʿѧʦѧ;
6	199810-11, Ĵѧѧ;
7	ڿγ:ѧдչѧ

·޶ṩϢΪ¼ڲʵ
ʣپſû˵滰Ϊ

1	Լ˵19927µ19937£뷨ǣû
ᵽǰУһ㲻ɰУ12Ҳ̫
ˡſĻظҲ˵£˶ʿҵֱӵѷԭʼɭְ
ʦչ鳤Ϊ̬ѧоԼļ˵1992-1993
ҿĽޡʲôǷҿģǽޣ
ʽޣȷѧ֮࣬Ӧйٷƾ֤塢¡ſ
˭˵ʵſ˵ģǾ
ȥ˷ǣӦȥ;ҡ1992-1993, ҿĽ
ޡʲôɲ꣬ĺ⾭о޵
ݣȷ1993-1994, оƾ(DEA)ͯչѧ
ѧ;Ҷµļɣϣ½һ£

2	1995Ƹڱʦϵһ3ſγ̣Ȼ
ûͬʱſΣǿԿ϶ΪʦʦԼĽѧ
ӦñȽأ£ΡЭʦΪ
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¼Ӧ֣ԼЩдΪ
Ĵѧһ£199810-11£鶼гˣ
5ľ1995-2000꣩͸ûɲгˡſоһЩʵ
֤°ˣҶ֤ҲԣҾſ˵
ЭʦΪоʵ飻ſ˵ѵ
ɣ

3	⣬¸˼ûоٺǵ£ǫ黹
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ҵɣӼݵ⣬岻ҳκ⣬
Ļظ¶ӼʵҲ¶ſ
˵ʵ顣ΪѡԺʿγʹҵʣӦ
ͷڹ

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ʦ֮çſ

ߣᰮѧ

ԴӼݵ⣬ſ
嵶Ϊ˹(XYS20090905)һƪϸط
2ƪԴǳ(XYS20090909)ұֱڿֱ
ʦѡԺʿϽѧߡʿʦ˻ܸҽ
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еһעϸĽǲ?ز
(XYS20090911)ֲǰΪļλһ
Ҵ֣Ǹë

ҪҴ㣬Ϊѷ
֣Ҿ͸һµΣ峤һ֪ʶ岻ָ㣬
ҾԽ޴ҡ

1	ѡԺʿ֪η֮켣пԺо
ṩվhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_Rainforest
ұͼµڶͼɫ򣬾ǴΧڵѷ
ȴ֣һ㶼ûбȥ
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Amazon_rainforest.jpg

2	άٿAmazon Basin (Amazon River basin)ûᵽ
ѷƽԭThe basin is located mainly (40%) in Brazil, but 
also stretches into Peru and several other countries
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_Basinܴһұ
ѷƽԭĵͼԿ϶һ򱻰
ѷƽԭ֮ڣ
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Amazonriverbasin_basemap.png

3	άٿƽѷĵͼҲʾҲֻ϶
ĵطһ㱻ڸ
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Amazonrivermap.png

4	άٿרŽܷĿûָ򱻰ѷ
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_GuianaǱİ
ϸϵѷڣάٿӦûᵽȷǱ
Ϲ϶˽һطѷڣάٿ˵Most 
tourists visit Suriname for the outstanding biodiversity of the 
pristine Amazonian rain forests in the south of the country, which are 
noted for their flora and fauna.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SurinameϹϲȷ
ǵ϶γȻҪͣ

5	徭ָģԼдºýıдĿ
飩ԼΪһȴֽгҰо뿼Ļѧ
ߡ19µNouraguesվӲǸϵѷ֣
̬վĹٷվʾṩĵͼʾNouragues̬վλڷǵ
http://www.nouragues.cnrs.fr/maps.html
http://www.nouragues.cnrs.fr/original/Nouragues-Reserve.html
Լ˵̬վ󺣰Լ100
http://www.bioone.org/doi/abs/10.1650/0010-5422%282000%29102%5B0198%3AFOBCMB%5D2.0.CO%3B2
̬վľλã£0405N, 5240W)뷨϶
Ĵֱ200

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ĵطNouragues̬վٷվĵͼҲʾ̬վԶ
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紦200ԱNouragues̬վǱǬŲƽϲ
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Ϊſԭ
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ߣſ

ᰮѧ99յһ仰ϸĽǲ
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_RainforestһThe 
Amazon rainforest, also known as Amazonia, or the Amazon jungle, is a 
moist broadleaf forest that covers most of the Amazon Basin of South 
America. This basin encompasses seven million square kilometers (1.7 
billion acres), of which five and a half million square kilometers 
(1.4 billion acres) are covered by the rainforest. This region 
includes territory belonging to nine nations. The majority of the 
forest is contained within Brazil, with 60% of the rainforest, 
followed by Peru with 13%, and with minor amounts in Colombia, 
Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia, Guyana, Suriname, and French Guiana.
ֻ֣˵һԻƦӣʵڲм
ڻظ(XYS20090911)
-------------------------------------
ҵΪԻôһССע
ѧ޹صôȤרŲ⣬Դ
⣬һֲᣡʲôطԻĿСλ
Ӱһˣɵ´ۻ֮
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⣬ſȻڻΪϿԶȡйƺţΪ
ʱһ㣬һҪʯͷԼĽţҶ
֤ݣ棻ڶҪŹԼͷ
(XYS20090909)˼ЦоǷܶо
޹ϵ(XYS20090907)ظ˽¶Ц
(XYS20090903)ҲҪҵһ㡣

(XYS20090913)

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ʾ廪ѧѧѧԺ

ߣgaojiange

ڿѧĸ·ʿӦö֪NatureⱾ־Դ͹ȰɡΪ
ҹͷ廪ѧ˴˵ʲôءûԴѧ⣬
ⱾǸʶ⣬ˣ˭֮

---------------------------------

Դ廪ѧ³ѧѧԺ 

http://life.tsinghua.edu.cn/wangzhanshouye/zuixinchengguo/2009-08-26/756.html 

20095£ϵйƵƵϲѶ527գϵ쿽
Nature־ΪAMPĵ׼øƻƵĽṹ
ģ528գϵʩһScience־Ϊ
ȲķЭͬת˵׵Ľṹͻơ¡ 

(XYS20090913)

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ֵ(Extreme Value Theory)

MrMathematicaԡ25 Big Ideas,ISBN 1-85168-391-7ԭRobert Matthews



ÿһʱ䣬С¼ͻᷢ޴̨磬߼¼
ơǵ¼ж༫ˣֵ(Extreme Value Theory)Իش
⡣ļ¼˵500ĺˮ¼ֵ۾ͿԤ⽫
ĺˮĿԡ

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ãӽڷ°ȫȵȣҲԽԽܵǵΡһҪӦ
ǱҵEVTشѷĿԣɴȷҪʱ
㹻⸶ʽ



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ȫΧڣʹEVTԤ⼫¼ĿԣԴΪݽ׼
ڽڽ磬EVTȻѷգɴȷҪʱ㹻⸶
ʽͬEVTֻʱ籩Σգ԰
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µġκμ¼¼漣ЩEVT
ܵɡָ֧EVTŽȫ(sound)ѧ
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Ŭ)ֱ2020Ԥ¼¼뷨ǵע⡣
EVT˼Ǹʷֲ¼ʵѧʽ˵˵
Ӹ˹ֲԴ󲿷˵߶ƽ߲Զ˹ֲխ
β͡ʾЩرĸߣرİ

˹ֲһַǳķֲ󶼷Ӹ˹ֲڵѧ
ʹø˹ֲ㼫¼Ŀԡ1920ѧǸо
˹ֲġβܺܺ͡õԤС¼1928꣬ѧR.A.Fisher
ͬL.H.C.TipperĹEVTģС¼һ
ʷֲͬ˹ֲһ¼Խˣ䷢ĸʾԽ͡Ҫ
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EVTӦںܶ򣬵ʼնлɡֱ1940
ŸĹۣһΪѧBoris Gnedenkoѧϸ֤EVTʹ
õĹʽΪѧEmil GumbelEVTӦԤˮȡ˾
ĳɹ

19532£һξ޴ķ籩˺̣47,000佨
1800ѡҪֹ¼ķһȺרұоĺˮ
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ŷ޹ұ4׸ߵĺûٱ1953ĺˮҪ15ס
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ĳɱֲ֧ڹ͡ںˮûĽǣ5׸ߵĺ̿
ǧꡣжɿأ¹ص˹ӴѧLaurens de Haan
쵼СʹEVTרĽ㡣ʹʷ¼EVTֲǵļ
ʾ5׸ߵĺ̿Ա͡

EVT㷺Ӧڼ̰ӵĸ߶ȡʱҲᷢ1996꣬
˹شѧѧǷʹEVTӢ800ﳤĺʱ˴
ĳЩضεĵ̰ӱҪס

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øָľ鹫ʽ¼Ŀԣ硰2080ʽҲ
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ĽѧPaul EmbrechtsͬǾʹEVTྭ鹫ʽ׼ȷ
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һķ籩ᵼ°ٷ֮95⡣оڱҵ˺ܴİչ
˾ԼͶͻ㹻׼

ͬʱһϵнΣ¼ķҲٽEVTڶӦá
19952£ҵа¼·һԱNick Leeson(
ˣɭ)Ľ׾ͳ˽Ԫʧºձзһ
åԱToshihide Iguchi(ڿӢ)ԪĿ¼
ʹϯAlan Greenspan(ס˹)ڽڷ
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һõʵʩһĽѾͿԱ⡣1998ģ
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ڣԽԽҵʼʶEVTЧӦãѧͺ
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Calment(ȡâ)1997122ꡣ

1980꣬ձɢװDerbyshire(±ȿ)һ̨гû44Ա
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˹شѧEVTרJonathan TawnںJanet Heffernanʿҳ
¹ʵԭһ쳣(freak wave)˴ǰաо鴬
ֻȼǿǰյǿȣԷֹ¼ٴη

ѧEVTһΰࡪһߺԱǵȫ

鿪

ÿ꣬˶ԱǾͻڰƥȡ¼ʱ
¼ǱơǱ׵ˢ¡ǣļ¼𣿼
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ҩĽԣܶ˻ǲϼ׵ġ˹ش
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Ҫ3롣

(XYS20090913)

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СȨͥ

2009-09-08Ĵձ

СȨһ(Ĵձ2007321ա1227պ
2008927ա1231Լ2009112յر) 91ɳɶ
Ժͥ󡣴ʱĴعҵо绪оԱŷز
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Ӱ鼰ĴС조ѧ١¼ɴȨ
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